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THE PHILIPPINE COMMUNITY HERALD NEWSPAPER PHILIPPINE NEWS HOT NEWS FROM HOME Compiled by Mars Cavestany Featured

 

2019 midterm election hopefuls
Former presidential spokesman Harry Roque Jr. is withdrawing his bid for senator, he says on his Facebook page.

He says he is withdrawing because of health issues. “I have recently undergone a percutaneous coronary intervention following the discovery of an unstable angina coronary disease. In the days since the pro- cedure, I have been forced to confront the reality of my physical situation and what it ultimately means for my aspirations to pub- lic service,” he says.

Roque, a human rights lawyer before joining gov- ernment, had initially said he was running as a par- ty-list representative and would advocate passage of laws to protect the en- vironment. Days later, he pushed through with filing a certificate of candidacy for senator.
Reelectionists and for- mer senators are in the lead, some newcomers are gaining ground, while the rest still have to catch up if they want to be in the ‘Magic 12’ in the May 2019 polls
With only 12 Senate seats up for grabs in a highly- competitive field, getting into the “Magic 12” range is an indicator of a senato- rial bet’s winning chances. Based on each aspirant’s preference rating (or the share of survey respond- ents who said they will be
Angara also shot up in the December survey, gaining over 21 points from 37.1% to 58.5% to put him in 3rd place. Meanwhile, Binay and Pimentel are seen to place between 5th and 7th places, with 46.7% and 45.5%, respectively.
The rest of the names – those with ratings below 20% – are a mix of admin- istration and opposition bets. Leading them is former presidential aide Christopher Lawrence “Bong” Go. His rating has gone up, in close range of the Magic 12, from 5.9% in March, to 29.7% in December. In a matter of 9 months, his rating increased by nearly 24 percentage points, or grew five-fold.
In December, Tañada got 5.1% (up from 3.4% in September), human rights lawyer Jose Manuel “Chel” Diokno got 3.4% (up from 1.6%), Magdalo Representa- tive Gary Alejano received 2.8% (up from 1.6%), and former solicitor general Florin Hilbay got only 0.4% (up from 0.2%).
The Commission on Elec- tions released a prelimi-
The campaign period for national candidates for the 2019 midterm elections begins in February, but many senatorial aspirants
Many ex-senators are also performing well in their comeback bids: Pia Cayetano and Lito Lapid (who both placed ahead of Binay and Pimentel in the December survey), Sergio Osmeña III, Ra- mon “Bong” Revilla Jr, Jinggoy Estrada, and Ma- nuel “Mar” Roxas II. All of them have received rat- ings above 25% in the 4 Pulse Asia surveys.
In the lead-up to the 2016 elections, Senators Joel Villanueva and Sherwin Gatchalian were in a similar situation: they had ratings below 10% up to the first half of 2015 in Pulse Asia surveys, but they gradually inched their way to the bot- tom of, or just outside, the Magic 12 range by the start of 2016.

 

Update
The initial list includ- ed those who had been named in the poll body’s law department petition to be declared nuisance can- didates for senator.
The Pulse Asia survey in December, the first one af- ter the filing of Certificates of Candidacy (COCs) in October, showed that some bets are already in the lead, others are gaining ground, while the rest still have to catch up if they want to be in the winning circle.
crease in December.
Aquino was in and out of
LP. The performance of the opposition Liberal Party’s 8 Senate bets has not been aus- picious so far. Only Roxas has consistently placed in the “Magic 12” while Aqui- no had just returned to that range.
He says he is withdrawing because of health issues. “I have recently undergone a percutaneous coronary intervention following the discovery of an unstable angina coronary disease. In the days since the pro- cedure, I have been forced to confront the reality of my physical situation and what it ultimately means for my aspirations to pub- lic service,” he says.
“Hindi pa lahat yan, sure na pasok. For verifica- tion of accuracy lang yan - so that the candidates can correct misspellings or errors, if any,” Comelec spokesperson James Jime- nez said on Twitter. (Phil- ippine Star)
So far, Pulse Asia has conducted senatorial pref- erence surveys for the 2019 polls in March, June, September and Decem- ber 2018. (There was a reported survey by Social Weather Stations also in December 2018, which could have been leaked as results are not yet available on its website. We consider the leaked results unoffi- cial.)
Consistently landing in the top are 5 of the 7 ree- lectionist senators: Grace Poe, Cynthia Villar, Juan Edgardo “Sonny” An- gara, Nancy Binay, and Aquilino “Koko” Pimen- tel III.
the Magic 12 in the surveys, returning to the 10th-16th range in December, after dropping to the 18th-23rd spot and suffering a 12-point decrease from June to Sep- tember.
B. Survey says: How 2019 senatorial bets are faring so far
Poe has so far pulled away from everyone else in all surveys, but Vil- lar seems to be gaining steam. Villar breached the 60% mark in the Decem- ber 2018 survey when she garnered 66.6%, up by nearly 9 percentage points from September.
Among those in the Magic 12 in the December survey, Angara, Lapid, Pimentel, Aquino, and Revilla got the biggest jumps from Septem- ber, while only Binay suf- fered a drop in rating.
The rest of the LP slate has not yet broken the 10% bar- rier. Their ratings in Decem- ber have moved up by only a bit – getting almost the same scores as in their first Pulse Asia survey debuts. The big- gest gainer among them was former Quezon representa- tive Lorenzo “Erin” Tañada III, who improved by 3.4 percentage points from March.

Two new names in the Senate race are joining the strong performers: Il- ocos Norte Governor Ma- ria Imelda “Imee” Mar- cos, and former Bureau of Corrections director gen- eral and former Philip- pine National Police chief Ronald “Bato” dela Rosa.
Hugpong. Most of the candidates endorsed by the Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) party of presidential daughter Sara Duterte Car- pio are also doing well.
Meanwhile, the two re- maining reelectionists are teetering on the edge of the Magic 12: Joseph Victor “JV” Ejercito and
Per slate
PDP-Laban. Go and To-
Six of the 8 members of HNP’s slate with ally po- litical parties nationwide are within the “Magic 12”: Vil- lar, Cayetano, Marcos, Es- trada, Dela Rosa, and Ejer- cito. The other two are Go and Mangudadatu.
Two other aspirants had preference ratings above 10%: former presidential po- litical adviser Francis Tolen- tino (at 19.4%), and former senator Juan Ponce Enrile (at 19%), who appeared in the survey for the first time, after the surprise filing of his candidacy for senator.
Election lawyer Romulo Macalintal, who made his first appearance in the Sep- tember survey with 1.3%, improved to 2.1% the fol- lowing quarter. Marawi civic leader Samira Gutoc Tomawis, listed for the first time in December, received 1.3%.

 

nary list of aspirants for the 2019 midterm elec- tions for possible correc- tion of names.
have started making the rounds on social media and on the ground already, in the hopes of catching vot- ers’ attention early on.
voting for him or her), Pulse Asia projected the range of the senatoria- bles’ ranking among all the bets, as a preview of the place or rank they will most likely land on after actual votes are counted in the May elections.
Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV. Ejercito has ranked at the bottom of prospective Magic 12 placers in the 4 surveys, getting only a 26.7% rating in September. From there, he earned a nearly 7-point in-
bers, only Pimentel and Dela Rosa have placed in the “Magic 12” so far, while Maguindanao Congressman Zajid “Toto” Mangudadatu received only 5.5% in De- cember, up from 2.2% in September.

lentino are also among the 5 senatorial candidates run- ning under PDP-Laban, President Duterte’s party. Among this slate’s mem-
Among the 6 bets who are in HNP’s longer slate for Davao region (besides the 8 in the nationwide slate), only Angara, Pimentel, and Re- villa are in the “Magic 12” so far. The rest have yet to make it: Tolentino, former presidential spokesperson Harry Roque, and reporter Jiggy Manicad.
Other bets. These candi- dates have also received rat- ings below 10% in Decem- ber:
• Singer Freddie Agui- lar (independent, previously filed under PDP-Laban)
• Agnes Escudero
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3 - JANUARY-FEBRUARY 2019-- THE PHILIPPINE COMMUNITY HERALD NEWSPAPER -- 3

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